Draft FFY 2024-2028 TIP Shuttle Analysis

 

PROJECT: CANTON—ROYALL STREET SHUTTLE

Map of Canton study area.

PROJECT ID: S12114

Municipalities: Boston, Canton, Quincy, Westwood

Proponent: Canton

Funding Years: FFYs 2022-24

Total Budget: $534,820

Project Score: 51/134

Trips:  Red Line Route

7 One-Way

4 outbound (AM)

3 inbound (PM)

Trips: Comm. Rail Route

10 One-Way

5 outbound (AM)

5 inbound (PM)

Total Trips:

17 One-Way

8.7 Riders Average

Service Days: Weekdays

 

Project Description

This three-year shuttle pilot project provides a workforce shuttle that connects the Royall Street Commercial District in Canton with transit hubs at Mattapan, Ashmont, Quincy Adams, and Route 128/University Park MBTA stations. The two shuttle routes, the Royall Street Red Line and Royall Street Commuter Rail Line, operate on schedules designed to mirror typical commuting patterns for commercial districts. The project is a public-private partnership between the Town of Canton, the Neponset Valley Transportation Management Association (NVTMA), and multiple private employers along Royall Street that contribute funding to shuttle operations. Private partners include Boston Mutual Life Insurance Company, Goodbaby International, Campanelli, Point32 Health, and other firms.

 

Morning Schedule: Red Line

Afternoon Schedule: Red Line

 

Morning Schedule

Afternoon Schedule

 

  YEAR 1: FFY 2022* YEAR 2: FFY 2023 YEAR 3: FFY 2024
  Application Projections Ridership (Actuals) Average Unique Riders (Actual) MPO Financial Contribution Total Budget Cost/Rider MPO Cost/Rider Overall Application Projections Ridership (Actuals + Projected) Average Unique Riders (Actual) MPO Financial Contribution Total Budget Cost/Rider MPO Cost/Rider Overall Application Projections Ridership (Projected) MPO Financial Contribution Total Budget Cost/Rider MPO Cost/Rider Overall
October 8000 N/A N/A $17,425.08 $27,730.17 N/A N/A 10000 264 40 $14,764.72 $28,482.80 $55.93 $107.89 12000 294 $12,378.52 $29,259.61 $42.13 $99.58
November 8000 7 4 $17,425.08 $27,730.17 $2,489.30 $3,961.45 10000 233 33 $14,764.72 $28,482.80 $63.37 $122.24 12000 259 $12,378.52 $29,259.61 $47.73 $112.83
December 8000 45 6 $17,425.08 $27,730.17 $387.22 $616.23 10000 179 27 $14,764.72 $28,482.80 $82.48 $159.12 12000 199 $12,378.52 $29,259.61 $62.13 $146.87
January 8000 58 8 $17,425.08 $27,730.17 $300.43 $478.11 10000 227 38 $14,764.72 $28,482.80 $65.04 $125.47 12000 253 $12,378.52 $29,259.61 $48.99 $115.81
February 8000 65 10 $17,425.08 $27,730.17 $268.08 $426.62 10000 236 N/A $14,764.72 $28,482.80 $62.57 $120.71 12000 263 $12,378.52 $29,259.61 $47.13 $111.41
March 8000 124 22 $17,425.08 $27,730.17 $140.52 $223.63 10000 236 N/A $14,764.72 $28,482.80 $62.57 $120.71 12000 263 $12,378.52 $29,259.61 $47.13 $111.41
April 8000 145 30 $17,425.08 $27,730.17 $120.17 $191.24 10000 236 N/A $14,764.72 $28,482.80 $62.57 $120.71 12000 263 $12,378.52 $29,259.61 $47.13 $111.41
May 8000 228 35 $17,425.08 $27,730.17 $76.43 $121.62 10000 254 N/A $14,764.72 $28,482.80 $58.18 $112.24 12000 282 $12,378.52 $29,259.61 $43.83 $103.60
June 8000 174 22 $17,425.08 $27,730.17 $100.14 $159.37 10000 194 N/A $14,764.72 $28,482.80 $76.24 $147.07 12000 216 $12,378.52 $29,259.61 $57.43 $135.75
July 8000 237 29 $17,425.08 $27,730.17 $73.52 $117.00 10000 264 N/A $14,764.72 $28,482.80 $55.97 $107.98 12000 294 $12,378.52 $29,259.61 $42.16 $99.66
August 8000 202 31 $17,425.08 $27,730.17 $86.26 $137.28 10000 225 N/A $14,764.72 $28,482.80 $65.67 $126.69 12000 250 $12,378.52 $29,259.61 $49.47 $116.93
September 8000 230 43 $17,425.08 $27,730.17 $75.76 $120.57 10000 256 N/A $14,764.72 $28,482.80 $57.68 $111.27 12000 285 $12,378.52 $29,259.61 $43.45 $102.70
Annual 96000 1515 32 $209,101.00 $332,762.00 $138.02 $219.64 120000 2803 35 $177,176.64 $341,793.64 $63.21 $121.94 144000 3120 $148,542.26 $351,115.26 $47.62 $112.55

 

 

* Service for the second Royall Street Commuter Shuttle commenced April 4, 2022. The average unique riders for FFY 2022 excludes data from before April 2022.

 

Green = Actual ridership data. Ridership data is available for the period between November 2021 and January 2023
 and reflects the total amount for a given month.  
Light Gray = Projections.  The assumed increase in ridership is a 11.3% increase in ridership from the same month last
year.  The average increase in ridership between April 2022 and January 2023 is 5.65% per month.  An 11.3% increase provides a more conservative estimate that better accounts for seasonal fluctuations. For the period of FebruaryApril 2023 prior year data is not conducive to serve as a baseline due to the absence of a second shuttle, so the average actual ridership of 212 monthly riders for April 2022 to January 2023 is used.

 

 


 

PROJECT: NEWTON—NEWMO MICROTRANSIT SERVICE EXPANSION

Map of Newton study area.

PROJECT ID: S12694

Municipalities: Boston, Needham, Newton, Waltham, Watertown, Wellesley, Weston

Proponent: Newton

Funding Years: FFYs 2023–25

Total Budget: $890,574

Project Score: 87/134

Daily Trips (Average): 163 Trips

Average Monthly Trips: 4,877 Trips

Service Days: All Days, 7:30 AM to 6:00 PM

 

Project Description

This project expanded Newton's citywide service, which began October 25, 2021, to include stops in key areas in several adjacent municipalities. This on-demand rideshare system operates on a dynamic route system with significant ridership from seniors, low-income individuals, commuters, and students.  The Boston Region MPO allocated $727,000 to the project between FFYs 2021–23 to support its initial launch.

 

  YEAR 1: FFY 2022* YEAR 2: FFY 2023 YEAR 3: FFY 2024
  Application Projections Ridership (Actuals) Average Unique Riders (Actual) MPO Financial Contribution Total Budget Cost/Rider MPO Cost/Rider Overall Application Projections Ridership (Actuals + Projected) Average Unique Riders (Actual) MPO Financial Contribution Total Budget Cost/Rider MPO Cost/Rider Overall Application Projections Ridership (Projected) MPO Financial Contribution Total Budget Cost/Rider MPO Cost/Rider Overall
October* 2700-10400 1469 287 $22,916.67 $91,250.00 $15.60 $62.12 2700-10400 5072 1008 $47,055.42 $106,083.33 $9.28 $20.92 2700-10400 5994 $22,353.83 $120,833.33 $3.73 $20.16
November 2700-10400 3075 580 $22,916.67 $91,250.00 $7.45 $29.67 2700-10400 6019 1163 $47,055.42 $106,083.33 $7.82 $17.62 2700-10400 6009 $22,353.83 $120,833.33 $3.72 $20.11
December 2700-10400 3297 627 $22,916.67 $91,250.00 $6.95 $27.68 2700-10400 6071 1225 $47,055.42 $106,083.33 $7.75 $17.47 2700-10400 6003 $22,353.83 $120,833.33 $3.72 $20.13
January** 2700-10400 3668 661 $22,916.67 $91,250.00 $6.25 $24.88 2700-10400 6542 1251 $47,055.42 $106,083.33 $7.19 $16.22 2700-10400 5996 $22,353.83 $120,833.33 $3.73 $20.15
February 2700-10400 3982 771 $22,916.67 $91,250.00 $5.76 $22.92 2700-10400 5870 700 $47,055.42 $106,083.33 $8.02 $18.07 2700-10400 5989 $22,353.83 $120,833.33 $3.73 $20.18
March 2700-10400 6249 987 $22,916.67 $91,250.00 $3.67 $14.60 2700-10400 5846 N/A $47,055.42 $106,083.33 $8.05 $18.15 2700-10400 5994 $22,353.83 $120,833.33 $3.73 $20.16
April 2700-10400 4997 941 $22,916.67 $91,250.00 $4.59 $18.26 2700-10400 5903 N/A $47,055.42 $106,083.33 $7.97 $17.97 2700-10400 5997 $22,353.83 $120,833.33 $3.73 $20.15
May 2700-10400 5395 1002 $22,916.67 $91,250.00 $4.25 $16.91 2700-10400 6042 N/A $47,055.42 $106,083.33 $7.79 $17.56 2700-10400 5998 $22,353.83 $120,833.33 $3.73 $20.15
June 2700-10400 5643 1121 $22,916.67 $91,250.00 $4.06 $16.17 2700-10400 6046 N/A $47,055.42 $106,083.33 $7.78 $17.55 2700-10400 5996 $22,353.83 $120,833.33 $3.73 $20.15
July 2700-10400 5043 924 $22,916.67 $91,250.00 $4.54 $18.09 2700-10400 6041 N/A $47,055.42 $106,083.33 $7.79 $17.56 2700-10400 5995 $22,353.83 $120,833.33 $3.73 $20.16
August 2700-10400 6015 1083 $22,916.67 $91,250.00 $3.81 $15.17 2700-10400 5958 N/A $47,055.42 $106,083.33 $7.90 $17.81 2700-10400 5995 $22,353.83 $120,833.33 $3.73 $20.16
September 2700-10400 5500 1100 $22,916.67 $91,250.00 $4.17 $16.59 2700-10400 5973 N/A $47,055.42 $106,083.33 $7.88 $17.76 2700-10400 5996 $22,353.83 $120,833.33 $3.73 $20.15
Annual 32,400-124,800 54333 1029 $275,000.00 $1,095,000.00 $5.06 $20.15 32,400-124,800 71382 1162 $564,665.00 $1,273,000.00 $7.91 $17.83 32,400-124,800 71963 $268,246.00 $1,450,000.00 $3.73 $20.15

 

*While NewMo Microtransit Service Expansion is funded in the FFYs 2023-27 TIP for FFYs 2023-25, Fiscal Year 2022 shows the most complete amount of ridership information for the service and captures the start of service expansion.

**On October 25, 2021, NewMo expanded to serve the entirety of Newton. The original service area operated between July 1, 2021, and October 25, 2021, serving MBTA stops between 7:30 AM and 6:00 PM.

***An additional, seventh vehicle was added on January 2, 2022, to keep up with demand.

 

Green = Actual ridership data.  Ridership data is available for the period between November 2021 and January 2023
 and reflects the total amount for a given month.  
Light Gray = Projections.  January 2023 ridership marked the highest ridership attained by NewMo since its inception. Projections are based on a six month rolling average.  Ridership increases for NewMo have historically coincided with expansions in the vehicle fleet and service area to meet demand that is in excess of capacity. These projections do not account for additional service areas or fleet procurement.
Yellow = These figures include figures that incorporate additional funding from the MPO under Project S12125, Newton Microtransit Service. Newton Microtransit Service was funded in the FFYs 2021-25 TIP between FFYs 2021-23 under Project ID S10784.  The project was funded for a total of $727,000 with $300,000 in FFY 2021, $275,000 in FFY 2022, and $152,000 in FFY 2023.