WORK PROGRAM

red blue connector Study

November 3, 2022

 

Proposed Motion

The Boston Region Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) votes to approve this work program.

Project Identification

Unified Planning Work Program (UPWP) Classification

Agency and Other Client Transportation Planning Studies and Technical Analyses

Project Number 22217

Client

Massachusetts Bay Transportation Authority (MBTA)
Client Supervisor: Shannon Greenwell

Project Supervisors

Principal: Rose McCarron
Manager: Benjamin Dowling

Funding Source

Future MBTA Contract

Schedule and Budget

Schedule: 24 months from notice to proceed

Budget: $213,000

Schedule and budget details are shown in Exhibits 1 and 2, respectively.

Relationship to MPO Work

This studyis supported in full with non-MPO funding. Committing MPO staff to this project will not impinge on the quality or timeliness of MPO-funded work.

 

Background

The Massachusetts Bay Transportation Authority (MBTA) has proposed to connect the Red and Blue Lines by extending the Blue Line below Cambridge Street to the Charles/MGH Station on the Red Line. A direct connection between these lines would reduce the number of transfers and improve travel time for people traveling between Cambridge and neighborhoods northeast of downtown Boston. The project would result in a 2500-foot, two-track tunnel under Cambridge Street, modifications to the Charles/MGH Station to accommodate Blue Line service, closure of the Bowdoin Station on the Blue Line, and construction of overnight train storage tracks.

 

The MBTA has asked the Central Transportation Planning Staff (CTPS) to support the transportation analysis of the Red Blue Connector project. The results of the analysis will inform the Massachusetts Environmental Policy Act (MEPA) and National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) permitting for this project. The MBTA has requested information on the project’s impact on transit ridership, trip generation and distribution, mode share, air quality, and environmental justice.

 

CTPS previously studied the Red Blue Connector project for a Draft Environmental Impact Report in 2010. The project must be reevaluated to capture changes in existing conditions and future land use and transportation network scenarios. CTPS will support the MBTA and its project teams by assessing the existing travel patterns and by providing modeling results and analyses to help evaluate the impacts of the project. 

Objectives

The principal objective of this study is to support the MBTA and its project teams in the planning tasks that are associated with the Red Blue Connector and to provide the necessary data to understand the potential traffic and transit impacts of the project. CTPS will also support engagement with stakeholders and the public.

Work Description

CTPS will use the Boston Region MPO’s travel demand model to analyze the traffic and transit impact of the proposed connection between the Red and Blue Lines and the closure of Bowdoin Station. The work required to meet the immediate needs of the MBTA project team will be carried out in the tasks described below.

Task 1  Project Coordination and Engagement Support

CTPS will work with the MBTA and its consultants to help develop travel demand forecasts and will support presentations of the analysis to stakeholders.

Products of Task 1

Task 2  Calibrate and Validate Base Year

The travel demand model is calibrated at the statewide level. To ensure reasonable sensitivity to the proposed project, CTPS will recalibrate and potentially refine the model to best reflect the existing conditions in the study area. This calibration will be informed by vehicle and ridership counts provided by the MBTA and its consultant team. Calibration efforts will focus on the AM and PM peak periods.

Products of Task 2

Task 3  Model Year of Opening Scenarios

CTPS will use the calibrated Base Year model developed in Task 2 and apply it to the Year of Opening model scenario. The land use scenario for this alternative will be based on an interpolation between the Base Year and the Horizon Year land use assumptions developed for the Boston Region MPO’s Long Range Transportation Plan (LRTP). The MBTA and its consultants will provide information on additional land use and transportation projects that are projected to impact the study area in the year of opening. The No-Build transportation network will be based on Base Year network. The Build transportation network will include the proposed Red Blue Connector project. CTPS will model the No-Build and Build scenarios and summarize the effect on travel patterns and mode choice.

Products of Task 3

CTPS will provide the following data for each model scenario:

Task 4  Model Horizon Year Scenarios

CTPS will use the calibrated Base Year model developed in Task 2 and apply it to the Horizon Year model scenario. The land use scenario for this alternative will be based on the Horizon Year land use assumptions developed for the Boston Region MPO’s LRTP. The MBTA and its consultants will provide information on additional land use projects that are projected to impact the study area in the Horizon Year. The No-Build transportation network will be based on the infrastructure assumptions included in the LRTP. The Build transportation network will include the proposed Red Blue Connector project. CTPS will model the No-Build and Build scenarios and summarize the effect on travel patterns and mode choice.

Products of Task 4

CTPS will provide the following data for each model scenario:

Task 5  Perform Air Quality Analyses

CTPS will perform highway air quality analyses in coordination with the project team. The air quality analyses, which will be based on the model outputs of the previous tasks, will estimate roadway mobile emissions from automobiles and trucks of carbon monoxide (CO), carbon dioxide (CO2), nitrogen oxides (NOx), volatile organic compounds (VOCs), and particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10).

Products of Task 5

For each scenario modeled in Tasks 3 and 4 CTPS will provide the following:

Task 6  Perform Environmental Justice Analyses

CTPS will perform environmental justice analyses in coordination with the project team. The environmental justice analyses, which will be based on the model outputs of the previous tasks, will identify population groups (minority and non-minority) and income groups (low-income and non-low-income) in the study area. The benefits and burdens of the project will be evaluated for these population and income groups.

Products of Task 6

For each scenario modeled in Tasks 3 and 4 CTPS will provide tabular summaries of the environmental justice analyses

Task 7  Develop Inputs for Economic Impact Analysis (OPTIONAL)

The MBTA may conduct the economic impact analysis for the Boston region using the Transportation Economic Development Impact System (TREDIS). TREDIS requires as input aggregated roadway and transit results from a regional model segmented by mode, trip purpose, level of service, and time period. CTPS will provide the land use data and the Build and No-Build transportation networks to support this analysis.

Products of Task 7

Populated table of traveler characteristics to support TREDIS analysis

Task 8  Documentation

CTPS staff will document the methodology developed to support MassDOT’s study and the results of the analysis.

Products of Task 8

Documentation describing the methodology and results

 


 

Exhibit 1
ESTIMATED SCHEDULE
Red Blue Connector


Task
Month
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
1.
Project Coordination and Engagement Support
From Month 1, Week 1 to Month 24, Week 4.
2.
Calibrate and Validate Base Year
From Month 1, Week 1 to Month 3, Week 4.
Deliverable
A
Delivered by Month 3, Week 4.
3.
Model Year of Opening Scenarios
From Month 3, Week 1 to Month 5, Week 3.
Deliverable
B
Delivered by Month 5, Week 3.
4.
Model Horizon Year Scenarios
From Month 5, Week 3 to Month 7, Week 3.
Deliverable
C
Delivered by Month 7, Week 3.
5.
Perform Air Quality Analyses
From Month 7, Week 3 to Month 8, Week 1.
Deliverable
D
Delivered by Month 8, Week 1.
6.
Perform Environmental Justice Analyses
From Month 7, Week 3 to Month 8, Week 1.
Deliverable
E
Delivered by Month 8, Week 1.
7.
Develop Inputs for Economic Impact Analysis
From Month 7, Week 3 to Month 8, Week 3.
8.
Documentation
From Month 1, Week 1 to Month 9, Week 4.
Products/Milestones
A: Calibrated Base Year Model
B: Model Data from Year of Opening Scenarios
C: Model Data from Horizon Year Scenarios
D: Air Quality Data
E: Environmental Justice Data

 

 

 

Exhibit 2
ESTIMATED COST
Red Blue Connector

Direct Salary and Overhead

$213,000

Task
Person-Weeks Direct
Salary
Overhead
(119.34%)
Total
Cost
M-1 P-5 P-4 P-3 P-2 Total
1.
Project Coordination and Engagement Support
1.2 0.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 6.2 $10,529 $12,565 $23,095
2.
Calibrate and Validate Base Year
0.4 0.0 12.0 0.0 0.0 12.4 $20,662 $24,657 $45,319
3.
Model Year of Opening Scenarios
0.4 0.0 14.0 0.5 0.0 14.9 $24,642 $29,408 $54,050
4.
Model Horizon Year Scenarios
0.4 0.0 14.0 0.0 0.0 14.4 $23,969 $28,605 $52,574
5.
Perform Air Quality Analyses
0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 3.6 $4,606 $5,496 $10,102
6.
Perform Environmental Justice Analyses
0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 3.6 $4,606 $5,496 $10,102
7.
Develop Inputs for Economic Impact Analysis
0.2 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.2 $3,769 $4,498 $8,267
8.
Documentation
1.1 0.2 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 $4,327 $5,164 $9,491
Total
3.9 0.2 48.0 0.5 7.0 59.6 $97,110 $115,891 $213,000

Other Direct Costs

$0

TOTAL COST

$213,000
Funding
Future MBTA Contract

 

 

 


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